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Scrap Risk

Also known as: ausschussrisiko · riesgo de scrap · risco de refugo · scrap allowance · scrap estimate · scrap risk · 废品风险

Defects

Definition

Scrap risk is the estimated quantity of Molded Parts a job is expected to lose to Scrap for normal process reasons — start-up purge, first-article samples, validation shots, setup adjustment and ordinary reject rate. It is a planning allowance: molders add it on top of the good parts ordered so the run starts with enough material and machine time to still ship the full quantity.

Where the scrap comes from

  • Start-up & changeover: the first shots after a Cycle Time or color change are off-spec until the process stabilizes.
  • Samples & validation: first-article inspection, capability studies and approval samples are consumed, not shipped.
  • Process rejects: the ongoing baseline rate of Short Shots, Flash, sink, dimensional or cosmetic defects.
  • Component-insertion / complex jobs carry higher risk than a simple single-cavity part.

How it is used

  • Material & quoting: scrap risk feeds the extra resin in the total-weight-required calculation and the part price; under-estimating it eats the margin.
  • Scheduling: it sets how many shots and how much machine time to plan so the customer quantity is met on time.
  • Improvement target: scrap risk is also a number to drive down — better setup (Scientific Method / Scientific Molding), a robust Quality System and reusing rejects as Regrind all shrink the real loss and its cost.

Why it matters

Treating scrap as a planned, estimated figure — not a surprise — is what lets a molder commit to a delivery quantity and a price with confidence. A realistic scrap risk protects the schedule and the margin; tracking actual vs estimated scrap is a continuous-improvement signal.

Related terms

What is scrap risk in injection molding?

The estimated number of parts a job will lose to scrap for normal reasons — start-up, samples, validation and baseline rejects — added on top of the order quantity so enough material and machine time are planned to still ship in full.

How do you reduce scrap risk?

Develop a robust, documented process (scientific molding), stabilize start-up and changeovers, run a real quality system to catch causes early, and reuse rejects as regrind — each lowers the actual scrap and its cost.

Why include scrap risk in a quote?

Because some loss to start-up, samples, validation and rejects is unavoidable; pricing and material planning that ignore it run short of parts or margin, so a realistic scrap allowance protects both delivery and profit.

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